Forecast: Doom and Gloom

August 1st, 2006
by kevin

From the we are so totally screwed department:

In a Caribbean Big Business Profile, from July 27, 2006, Jose J. Villamil, president of the island’s principal economic and planning and consulting firm, Estudios Technicos, the top ten jobs list through 2010 are in order of highest percentage growth – administrative support, sales personnel, manufacturing, transportation, food preparation and service, security, construction, education, healthcare, and finally (drum role, please) cleaning and maintenance.

So summarizing, we are going to build a shit load of fast food restaurants, that will require security, because hardly no one will be earning more than minimum wage. there’ll always be room for people to take of our fat and pyshopathic lives, and clean up after us as we completely buy a bunch of crap we don’t need. No one will be able to afford gasoline so, “guaguitas” will be our only way to get around. As it happens today, those that can’t actually get a real job will end up teaching, and the rest will be administrative assistants in the Department of Education. Now isn’t that a pretty picture of our future. Deal with it. It does’t get any realer than this.

From the need anymore proof department:

In the same issue of the Caribbean Business, Archer Lebron, chairman of the board of the Internet Society of Puerto Rico (I-suck-PR) and executive vice president and managing partner of Softek Inc. (gee doesn’t sound like someone’s compensating for something?) said “We talk a lot about a new economy and the Internet is the infrastructure that this new global economy runs on. Right now, only 35% of Puerto Rico’s population is online. [...] In order to be a real player in today’s global markets, Puerto Rico’s Internet penetration must be at least 70% to 80%”

Yes, because the world is holding back the Internet because more Puerto Ricans can’t access the Internet to buy more crap. If this guy is the chairman of I-suck-PR, and doesn’t get that a)Nearly almost all of our major businesses are online already; and 2)Consumers are not needed in Puerto Rico for any company here to join the global economy on the Internet; then what can you expect the brain dead followers that are members of this organization or the clients his company are supposed to think?

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Posted in Business, Internet, Puerto Rico | Comments (0)

LinuxWorld – ABCs of Desktop Linux

March 29th, 2006
by kevin

Next week I’ll be in Boston attending my first LinuxWorld conference. were I’ll be giving to presentation/demonstrations a day, plus plenty of public and vendor meet and greet. It should be insane. I’m pretty excited about doing a good job, but as usual I’m still not quite prepared. I’ve got to go through my slides and demonstrations a few times. Plus on Monday we have to install Linux on some loaner machines and test some tricks I have planned.

Then over all of that, I have to try to do some serious on-the-spot journalist stories to help cover some of my costs. Looking forward I want to cover:

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Posted in Internet, Linux, Mono, Open Source, Opportunity | Comments (0)

Lose the sandals and ponytail!

March 28th, 2006
by kevin

A long time friend of SNAP and Puerto Rico, Peter Quinn rips the open source community a new one. In this article “» Open source community needs a haircut and to dress for success | Between the Lines | ZDNet.com” he is quoted as saying that “If you want to get traction in commercial environments, lose the sandals and ponytails.” A pointed quip indeed! He goes on to say “Open source has an unprofessional appearance, and the community needs to be more business-savvy in order to start to make inroads in areas traditionally dominated by commercial software vendors. (Having) a face on a project or agenda makes it attractive for politicians (to consider open source),”

I can relate to his perspective. However, it brings up something that I address a couple of times in the upcoming issue of TUX. For me, one of the biggest challenges open source software faces today is the dilemma of whether it is for engineers, open for business, or a wide spectrum in between.

What Peter is trying to bring out is that if we want more companies to choose FOSS, then we need to join the corporate world. I’m not suggesting IBM Blue suits and white shirts. I guess it’s the old saying “When in Rome, do as the Romans do”. There are certain expectations corporate America expects. Variance is acceptable, outright contempt and challenge will limit our success. Is that selling out, conforming to authority, or however you want to characterize it, I call it pragmatic.

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Posted in Open Source | Comments (0)

It’s just the right thing to do…

March 27th, 2006
by kevin

I believe in computers, so when I heard about the One Laptop Per Child project, I got really excited. Then after reading the background of the project, I got even more excited. While these laptops are computers, the first intended use for them is not as a computer, but as an e-book reader. In the initially targeted countries they have a problem in acquiring textbooks, keeping up to date, especially in their native tongue.

This article by the highly respected Robin Miller, “Commentary: Gates wants poor to spend $600+, not $100 or $200, for computers” is disappointing. While properly skewering Bill Gates and his recent comments about the OLPC project, he throws in some FUD of his own. The bottom line is this: something close to 1 out of every 6 people in the world have never even seen a computer. The first one they do see, I want to run Linux and be full of other FOSS (Free and Open Source Software). Any deeper analysis than that, frankly, I don’t care to hear about. I believe in this project in my soul. I know it is the right thing to do. This is not a zero sum game. If this project wants to try and put a computer into the hands of millions of people, it doesn’t mean instead of providing people sustainable water and food. Who know? Maybe providing computers to more people will help us find out how to provide water and food; by none other than the people that receive these computers and most need it.

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Posted in Internet, Linux, Open Source | Comments (0)

Planning ahead

March 22nd, 2006
by kevin

For anyone considering a jump into starting their own company, forming or joining a startup, the next few posts will offer a few quick words of advice. As I share them, I’ll also give a brief description of my work efforts.

1. It is said that planning for any project is indispensable, while the plan you create for that project is disposable.

If you’re going to make the jump, make sure you take a parachute along with you. A parachute in this sense is a fall back position that can carry you through the extended “project initiation” phase. It is going to take way more time than you ever believe to get rolling. Whether that means landing the first contract or making the first sale. You’re going to need some insurance. Your insurance could be an existing client. Like quitting your job and being able to contract yourself back to them and continue to provide services.

This is proof that no matter how smart someone might seem, or claim to be, reality is quite often more brutal. I know this rule, but yet I wasn’t actually able accomplish creating a fall back position. While I have a proposal pending with my ex-client, I’m still waiting for feedback. Therefore, I didn’t plan ahead successfully. Many excuses what I didn’t incorporate sooner, build the web site sooner, create a capabilities statement early, for I need them now; and they’re not ready.

Although I did pick up a great sideline gig by becoming the new Editor in Chief of TUX Magazine, it’s not directly on my path to create a startup or software and services company. I’m working on my third issue and it is a lot of fun. It is very helpful in bringing closer to reality my life long dream of authoring a technical book. And in a weird sort of Moebius strip, infinite loop, sort of a way it takes me back some 25 years to when I started Journalism school at Ball State University.

Creating passionate users as I launch my software and services company

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Posted in Business, Computer, Opportunity | Comments (2)

Methods of Execution

March 20th, 2006
by kevin

I was having another lively conversation with my friend Marcos Polanco this evening. At one point I reminded him that I was through with accepting and dealing with the seven rings of bullshit that surround most business conversations here in Puerto Rico. It seems that every conversation I witness is an endless stream of exaggerations, mis-representations, and even flat out lies.

There is one special version of this business exchange that I find incredibly vile. I call it building castles in the air. It involves in stating that something will be done. However, the conditions necessary to make that thing possible don’t exist. Let me illustrate my favorite, I want to build a company to make widgets. When asked if I will out-source the making of those widgets to China. I respond by saying, I’d prefer to get Puerto Ricans to make my widget. Yep that’s right if any body makes my widgets they’re going to be Puerto Ricans. A very patriotic and noble ideal. But then you ask me, are there a lot of people in Puerto Rico that know how to make widgets? Looking at the floor, I respond in a low voice. I can’t find any qualified widget makers. You press me farther and ask, are the universities actively producing knowledgeable widget makers? I respond proudly, yes. UPR-Mayaguez produces some of the most talented and sought after widget makers. So you ask, so you’ll be able to hire some of those recently graduated widget makers, right? Once again I look at the floor and say, barely audible, no. They’ve all accepted jobs to go make widgets in China for 3 times what I can pay them. And just in case your going to ask, no I’m not actually doing anything to produce more people capable of making widgets.

As I thought about writing this, I recalled what Larry Bossidy admonishes in his book “Execution: The Discipline of Getting Things Done” that the first rule in successful execution is eliminating all confusion and grasping the truth about a situation. When are the business leaders of Puerto Rico going to grasp the reality of the complex set of lies that they use to build more castles in the air? However, as I was was googling for a nice link about execution, I found a link about Methods of Execution.

Ha, LOL, the same word that we use to exult companies that operate efficiently is the same word we use to kill people. After reading the source, wouldn’t you know it from all places. The third highest ranked link about execution is from Indiana (my birth place, my home state). And people say God doesn’t have a sense of humor.

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Posted in Business, Puerto Rico | Comments (0)

Gartner Presents 10 Year Scenario for Information Technology, Business and Society | Tekrati Research News

March 18th, 2006
by kevin

In this article Gartner Presents 10 Year Scenario for Information Technology, Business and Society | Tekrati Research News there is a quote which I believe is the clearest description of what is wrong with nearly all businesses:

“The challenge to established companies comes not from other established players, but from start-up entrepreneurs who will use technology to upset the status quo.”

Think about it…

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Posted in Business, Computer | Comments (0)

Stupidest Use of a Religous Debate Cliche

February 27th, 2006
by kevin

In an interview for Open Business Esther Dyson included this in an answer about whether Yahoo or Goolge are open businesses: “In many ways, Yahoo! believes in smart, “intelligent design” and careful strategies, while Google follows blind evolution and operates a Darwinian fitness landscape within its development organization.”

P.S. I’m back and there’s going to be hell to pay….

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Posted in Business, Computer, Internet, Open Source | Comments (0)

Social Entrepreneurs Wanted

November 29th, 2005
by kevin

In last week’s Caribbean Business Rafael Hernandez Colon, three-term former Governor of Puerto Rico, restated the obvious by emphasizing the need for Puerto Rico to mobilize itself and put in place promptly a plan to attack the genetics, digital, and knowledge revolution. I do agree with him; to address this opportunity will require a change in our system of higher education. The only problem is I have not heard nor seen any such plan to dramatically impact Puerto Rico’s higher education system.

Governments are like businesses. Many of the same methods are equally effective in each of these environments. Puerto Rico faces declining revenues, increasing costs, and ineffective leadership. If this were a business, the actions required are clear. Develop new revenue streams, or maximize those you have by trimming costs, and find new leadership Although the Pridco reduction seems promising, I doubt the entire Government could follow suit. There are just too many powerful constituencies. There is a potential solution, however, social entrepreneurs. When there is too much bureaucracy and the resistance too powerful, then social entrepreneurs can leverage agility and freedom to address critical issues.

We need a plan to quickly empower Puerto Rico’s higher educational system, but the Government nor the United States holds the answer. The only possible path to a plan and a solution lies within the entrepreneurial community. For me, what we desperately need are businesses that wire, educate, and instill Puerto Rico.

First we need low cost broadband available for all of the major cities of Puerto Rico. However, what needs to be clear is this is not an investment to get rich quick, but a rising tide floats all boats scenario where the long range is emphasized.

Second, the only way to create a knowledge industry is to produce knowledge workers. We need massive quantities of highly educated, computer savvy graduates. We need a new workforce which is as comfortable with a keyboard and compiler as they are with a cellular phone.
Finally, we need to instill into this new workforce, the entrepreneurial spirit. They need to be able to see for themselves that we need a new path. They need to feel it in their bones, that the old path only leads into a dead-end. They need to be able to look past the lackadaisical acceptance that our current system is not broken and see opportunity.

Plainly, there is no other way. This is the only option available to us. Becuase if we don’t found businesses to address these problems, we hasten our arrival at the end of our current path. Only suffering lies at the end of that path.

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Posted in General, Opportunity, Puerto Rico | Comments (2)

The greater good of all…

November 28th, 2005
by kevin

I am convinced that one of the greatest things which limits Puerto Rico is our inability to accept this fundamental principle: our lives (and thus our island) is the result of our own decisions. Therfore our inability to accept this principle ensures our inability to take control of our own lives (and thus our island).

There are no inconsequential decisions! Each and every decision we make creates a long chain of cause and effect. The problem as Peter Senge points out in his book “The Fifth Discipline”, is that often times there is a delay between the two. When we put our hand on a hot stove, we immediately pull it away. Ouch that’s hot! When there is no immediate feedback mechanism, then we lose that immediacy. When a frog is thrown into a boiling pot, they will immediately try to jump out. However, if we put them into a pot and then crank up the heat, they never realize it is getting hot until it is too late.

What we must develop is a more long range feedback system, so that when we make bad decisions, the negative impact can be seen and felt more acutely. One area that Puerto Rico needs to develop a better understanding is how breaking the laws of our country dulls our sense of what is right and wrong. When a society can no longer judge what is in the greater good of that society, is when that society is doomed.

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Posted in General, Puerto Rico | Comments (1)